trade Archives - MKTPlace https://mktplace.org/tag/trade/ all about trading, Fintech, Business, AI & technology in one place Mon, 23 May 2022 08:52:18 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.7.2 https://mktplace.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/favicon.png trade Archives - MKTPlace https://mktplace.org/tag/trade/ 32 32 A Trader’s Guide to Futures – Part 2 https://mktplace.org/a-traders-guide-to-futures-part-2/ https://mktplace.org/a-traders-guide-to-futures-part-2/#respond Wed, 25 Feb 2015 07:00:09 +0000 http://www.tradersdna.com/?p=33093

In the first section of this guide we took a look at what a futures contract actually is, and how it works at a basic level. The second part of the guide will describe why exactly investors find them so useful and when they should be considered as an instrument worth investing in.

This part of the guide will give an overview of how the futures market works in aggregate, and why investors bother with it, leading on to Part 3 which will show how to assess and value futures contracts.

Why buy futures?
In part one the parties involved had their own goals. The farmer was looking to get some cash up front for his grain, the investor was looking to make a profit off of a prediction that the price of grain was set to rise. It’s important to remain on the safe side and avoid debt management by working with a professional like these insolvency practitioners London. This is one type of futures contract, but there are many different objectives and uses for such contracts. Below we list the two basic uses of a futures contract:

Hedging risks: Futures contracts allow companies and investors to stabilize the price of a volatile asset in the long term, reducing pricing risk. The airline industry is the most famous partaker of these type of contracts, with aircraft fuel constantly being fixed by various futures contracts.

In an industry highly cost sensitive to changes in a volatile asset this makes sense, though the recent drop in oil prices has many airlines stuck to contracts buying fuel way above current market price.

Instead of trying to guarantee the price of oil, some investors try to limit their downside from the bond market by investing in instruments like interest rate swaps. This means that, instead of fixing a price, the risk of losses on certain investments is lowered. This principle can be applied all over the capital markets.

Speculation: In order to take advantage of predictions about future prices, futures are often the best way to get exposure to a commodity and increase exposure using the leverage discussed in Part 1. Speculators, like our grain investor, try to make money all the time by betting on the futures markets.

In fact, all short contracts on stocks and bonds are a kind of future that work in this way. An agreement is made to sell stock of United Company Group at $10 in six months. If the price at that date is $8, the seller is able to make $2. Famous short sellers, like hedge fund managers, do this with millions of dollars at a time.

Who buys futures?
Because of the immense variety of markets that futures are available in, a vast cross section of market players are involved in buying and selling them. From companies that want to fix the price of commodities to hedge fund managers that want to short a company, to a bank that has taken on too much risk in a certain market.

Because of this, basically everyone but specialists trade futures. Commodity producers sell them in order to secure cashflow; market makers buy and sell them en masse in order to take a margin by selling them on, maintaining market liquidity; hedge fund managers buy and sell them against each other; companies hedge their costs on them; financial firms manage their risks based on them; the list goes on and on.

The whole futures market works together in this way in order to set prices for the foreseeable future, and gives a huge economic incentive to analyzing market trends in order to predict the future price of assets.

This means, because of the arbitrage dynamics, that today’s price is more representative of the market’s expectations for the future of a certain asset. The market can, of course, be wrong, but it offers a kind of price stability and predictability that allows both investors and normal companies to operate.

The next section of this guide will concentrate on how exactly you can trade futures, and what the steps are to set up your first trade.

 

Related Posts:

A Traders’s Guide to Futures – Part 1

]]> https://mktplace.org/a-traders-guide-to-futures-part-2/feed/ 0 EUR/USD Holds Ground as Political Tensions Escalate https://mktplace.org/eurusd-holds-ground-political-tensions-escalate/ https://mktplace.org/eurusd-holds-ground-political-tensions-escalate/#respond Tue, 10 Feb 2015 07:00:53 +0000 http://www.tradersdna.com/?p=32985

The euro was little changed against the US dollar on Monday, trading above 1.13 cents US ahead of the European Union meetings in Brussels. The meetings, which will be held on Wednesday, will be attended by newly appointed Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tspiras and German Chancellor Angela Merkel.

The EUR/USD climbed 0.06 percent to 1.1326. The pair is likely supported at 1.1259. Resistance is ascending from 1.1435.

Risk-off trading was the norm on Monday, as investors digested latest comments from the newly appointment Greek Prime Minister, who on Sunday outlined plans to dismantle the Troika’s “cruel” austerity plan. Tspiras said he would not extend Greece’s €240 billion bailout plan set to expire at the end of the month, setting the stage for a political standoff with the country’s European lenders.

European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker fired back on Monday, telling Greece the supranational institution would not bow to its demands.

“Greece should not assume that the overall mood has so changed that the Eurozone will adopt Tspiras’ government program unconditionally,” Juncker said in Germany on Monday.

Tspiras’ far-left coalition swept to power last month on a platform of “anti-austerity,” promising voters to raise the minimum wage, cut taxes and negotiate a new bailout agreement with international creditors. The Syriza party secured 36 percent of the vote and 149 of 300 parliament seats.

Meanwhile, escalating violence in Ukraine continued to weigh on market sentiment, driving investors to safe haven assets like the Japanese yen and gold. At least 45 Ukrainian soldiers and 11 pro-Russia fighters have been killed in renewed violence in the eastern part of the country, prompting the EU to postpone Russia sanctions ahead of the Minsk summit. German Chancellor Angela Merkel arrived at the White House on Monday to meet with US President Barrack Obama around the issue of whether to arm the Ukrainian government against Russian separatists.

In economic data, Germany’s trade surplus widened more than forecast in December, capping off a record year for international trade and signaling that Europe’s largest economy was improving. Germany’s trade surplus reached €217 billion in 2014, shattering the previous record of €195.3 billion. The country posted a surplus of €21.8 billion in December, up from €18.3 billion in November and compared with the consensus forecast of €17.9 billion. Exports rose 3.4 percent, while imports declined 0.8 percent from November, official data showed. Economists forecast exports to rise only 1 percent in December.

]]> https://mktplace.org/eurusd-holds-ground-political-tensions-escalate/feed/ 0 The Best Traders Alive https://mktplace.org/best-traders-alive/ https://mktplace.org/best-traders-alive/#respond Tue, 23 Sep 2014 06:00:26 +0000 http://www.tradersdna.com/?p=32101

While it is true that investors trade to make money, a trade, strictly in technical terms, does not necessarily have to be an investment in anything.  Let’s consider the best traders alive. Do you know why? The answer to this question lies in the explanation of value investing given by Benjamin Graham, who is known to be the father of all value investment and movements. According to Benjamin Graham, an investment should always guarantee one thing, and that is the “safety of principal and a lucrative return”. In light of this information, the difference between a ‘trader’ and an ‘investor’ becomes significantly clear.

An investor takes their time to put in their money, and is in the habit of making informed and diligent decisions after a thorough evaluation of a particular set of business fundamentals of a specific company or organization. A trader, on the other hand, applies the use of careful evaluation and technical analysis to focus on the core aspects of the trading market, and then bets on which of them have the potential to provide a hefty profit with limited market volatility.

Exactly fourteen years ago, it was very common for people to terminate their employment, get the cash out of their 401k plan and start down the line of trading, and that too from the ease of their homes. Fuelled by a large and volatile stock market with real estate bubbles, it was easy to throw away investments, but it was easy to make money as well. However, things have changed over the past couple of years. The recession that crippled the economy in 2007, for example, also resulted in the consistent proliferation of financial regulations.

Moreover, who can ignore the significant advancements in technology which allow trading to be carried out by powerful software and sophisticated algorithms. Did you know that today, 50% to 70% of all trading is done through complex algorithms every given day?

Losing money in today’s financial markets is routine and there are many traders and investors who lose massive amounts of money in the span of a single trading day. On top of this, these traders hope their gains will fill in for the losses they have experienced. And in order to gain more money, traders have to incur substantial expenses to pay for rising transaction and trading costs, and to pay for keeping up with traders who use state of the art trading software and platforms.

With all of this being said, there is still a selective number of traders who possess the diligence, the grit, the boldness, and the heart to go against the odds and make money along the way. Here are a few of those people:

Paul Tudor Jones (1954-Present)

Paul Tudor Jones is the founder of the Tudor Investment Corporation, which consists of a $12 billion hedge fund. Tudor is famous for short selling his stocks in the 1987 stock market crash which ended up making him $100 million. He did this by predicting a massive multiplier effect on the portfolio insurance on the bear market.

Portfolio insurance is a risk management instrument popularly used by traders around the world. Investors and traders use portfolio insurance to reduce the investment risks which could threaten their portfolio. Jones’ brilliant analytical insight led to this prediction which in turn helped him become a very rich trader in 1987. He has an estimated net worth of $3.6 billion and still heads his own hedge fund.

George Soros (1930-Present)

Soros is by far the most popular trader of all time. In fact, he is known as “The Man Who Broke the Bank of England”. George Soros made a well calculated bet in 1992 that the British pound would deflate in value. The British pound at that time was on an ERM – the European Exchange Rate Mechanism – which was introduced to keep the currencies held together in a defined boundary to maximize financial stability. George Soros, along with his partners from the Quantum Investment Fund, found a pattern which led him to believe the pound would become weak and thus would not be able to survive in the ERM.

He then made a short position, borrowed a substantial amount of money from the fund, and made $1 billion.

John Paulson (1955-Present)

John Paulson is renowned for carrying out what is known as the ‘greatest trade ever’. Paulson became a wealthy trader in 2007, when he shorted the real estate market via the collateralized-debt market. He was the founding member of Paulson & Co., which was established in 1994. Although being a brilliant trader, Paulson was not very popular in Wall Street, at least not until the crippling of the economy in 2007.

John Paulson

Successfully forecasting a massive asset bubble in the real estate market, he helped his funds make a massive $15 billion, out which he got a cool $3.7 billion. Paul still manages his companies and is worth an estimated $11 billion.

Come to think of it, all three super traders shared one thing in common: each of their brilliant and high paying ideas was based on leveraged shorts. What does that tell you? It tells you that all traders have clear conflicts of interest, and each trader is motivated to make profits from a fluctuating market.

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