speculation Archives - MKTPlace https://mktplace.org/tag/speculation/ all about trading, Fintech, Business, AI & technology in one place Thu, 18 Mar 2021 22:02:09 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.7.2 https://mktplace.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/favicon.png speculation Archives - MKTPlace https://mktplace.org/tag/speculation/ 32 32 US dollar continues higher as Fed pledges patience toward raising interest rates https://mktplace.org/us-dollar-continues-higher-fed-pledges-patience-toward-raising-interest-rates/ https://mktplace.org/us-dollar-continues-higher-fed-pledges-patience-toward-raising-interest-rates/#respond Thu, 29 Jan 2015 07:00:22 +0000 http://www.tradersdna.com/?p=32907

The US dollar advanced against a basket of currencies Wednesday, as the Federal Reserve conveyed optimism that inflation would gradually reach its target in the medium-term despite pledging to be patient on raising interest rates.

The US dollar index – a weighted average of the greenback’s performance against a basket of six currencies – climbed 0.33 percent to 94.33. The index reached an intraday high of 94.46 in the hours leading up to the Federal Open Market Committee rate statement.

The Federal Reserve made no changes to monetary policy on Wednesday, pledging to remain patient about raising interest rates in the face of below-trend inflation.

“To support continued progress toward maximum employment and price stability, the Committee today reaffirmed its view that the current 0 to 1/4 percent target range for the federal funds rate remains appropriate,” the Federal Reserve outlined in its official rate statement.

The statement added, “When the Committee decides to begin to remove policy accommodation, it will take a balanced approach consistent with its longer-run goals of maximum employment and inflation of 2 percent. The Committee currently anticipates that, even after employment and inflation are near mandate-consistent levels, economic conditions may, for some time, warrant keeping the target federal funds rate below levels the Committee views as normal in the longer run.”

Policymakers are confident that inflation will gradually return to target in the medium-term as the “transitory effects” of lower energy prices and labour market underutilization diminish. Energy prices have plunged nearly 60 percent since the summer, driving down inflationary pressures throughout the advanced industrialized world. This has prompted central banks in Canada, Switzerland and Singapore, among others, to ease monetary policy to stave off deflation and promote economic growth.

The Federal Reserve has maintained rock-bottom interest rates for more than six years, having only in October ended its record bond-buying program. According to experts, the Federal Reserve could begin lifting interest rates in the second half of the year. Analysts had previously forecast a rate hike to materialize by June.

Rate-hike speculation has fueled the US dollar over the past seven months. The US dollar index is trading at 12-year highs, having gained more than 17 percent year-over-year.

The dollar was trading higher against the euro on Wednesday, as the EUR/USD declined 0.67 percent to 1.1307. The pair is likely to face initial support at 1.1277 and resistance at 1.1359.

The greenback rose more than 100 pips against its Canadian counterpart, as the USD/CAD retook the critical 1.25 level. The pair consolidated at 1.2509 in the North American session. Initial support is likely found at 1.2425 and resistance at 1.2555.

The US dollar could receive a boost at the end of the week when the Commerce Department reports on fourth quarter GDP. The US economy is forecast to rise 3.3 percent annually in the fourth quarter, following a 5 percent gain in the July to September period.

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Top 10 Successful Traders Ever https://mktplace.org/top-10-successful-traders-ever/ https://mktplace.org/top-10-successful-traders-ever/#respond Thu, 25 Sep 2014 06:00:38 +0000 http://www.tradersdna.com/?p=32122

There are a number of fundamental differences between a trader and an investor. The only similarity they may share is that both investors and traders can lose money just as easily as they make it. We can learn from the successful traders.

To start trading though, you don’t need an investment or apply for a loan. You’d be surprised to know some of the world’s most brilliant and legendary traders themselves went through a lot of trial and tribulations before they became what they are today and before their names were immortalized in the history of trading.

Mentioned below are the names of the top successful traders who managed to beat others in the market through their skill, their diligence, tenacity and instincts. So, get ready to get some inspiration.

Top Ten Successful Traders of the World

1.  Jesse Livermore – The Master of Speculation

The skill of speculation that Jesse possessed thrived when he accurately predicted the 1929 stock market collapse. Livermore began trading as a 15-year old, trading at various gambling houses and through his studies and research he rose to fame and power when forecasted the 1907 and the 1929 markets collapses and made $100 million (which in today’s terms amounts up to $6 billion), in the blink of an eye. Having been associated with various industrialists at the time, Jesse proved to be instrumental in contributing towards America’s industrial revolution.

2. Paul Tudor Jones – Understanding the Core Dynamics of Trading

Paul Tudor Jones, another trading genius, called on the 1987 stock market crash because of that the day became labelled as Black Monday. Tudor accurately predicted the fall of the market by recognizing and understanding a series of events that led him to success. He understood at the time if the market started to descend rather than dry up, selling in the market would actually cascade. Jones understood an overvalued market would definitely give birth to more selling. Gambling on this, Paul went on making $100 million faster than you could say ‘I want to be rich!’

3.  George Soros – Defeating the Bank of England

As if this man needs any introduction at all, George Soros is the trader who broke the Bank of England without breaking a sweat. He predicted that the pound was going to fall and shorted it, making an easy $1 billion. Although many other traders deemed this gamble as nothing short of reckless, Soros was pleased about it. Well, of course, he would be. It was a ridiculously rewarding gamble! George forced the Bank of England to withdraw from the ERM (European Exchange Rate Mechanism).

4.  John Templeton – Betting on Japanese Assets and Winning

Templeton was the master of mutual funds. He invested $100,000 in Japanese assets when Japan was undergoing an economic change for the better, Templeton ended up making $55 million on a $100,000 investment. And in 1999, when Japan was starting to achieve it economic goals, Templeton decided to invest 60% of his funds into Japanese assets, which was again a spectacular success.

5.  Andrew Hall – Predicting the Oil Prices

In 2003, a barrel of oil was traded at $30. At the time, Andrew Hall predicted the price per barrel of oil is going to reach $100 within the next 5 years. Turned out his gamble was spot-on. He worked for Citigroup, making a ton of money for his employer. The trader made about $100 million.

6.  Paul Rotter – The Master Flipper

An expert in gauging the market’s psychology, his techniques were impeccable and significantly aided him in becoming a master of the markets. Paul being the initiator, his ideas and strategies proved to be instrumental in conducting trades on the Eurex exchange (Bund, Bobl and Schatz) markets.

7.  John Paulson – Shorting Real Estate

John Paulson is known for successfully executing what is known as the ‘greatest trade ever’. Paulson accurately predicted the asset bubble in the real estate market which had the potential for bringing in billions of dollars into Wall Street. Paulson ended up making $15 billion for his employers in 2007 for which he got a dizzying $3.7 billion.

8.  Jim Chanos – The Perceptive Short Seller

Jim Chanos rose to fame in October 2001 shortly after the downfall of Enron. Chanos was a master when it coming to shorting trades and made heavy profits by selling commodity currency and security. His most popular shorts include Baldwin-United and as of late, homebuilders like KB Home.

9.  Louis Bacon – The Gamble on Geopolitical Factors

Bacon is one of successful traders and ended up rightly predicting that Saddam Hussein would invade Kuwait. Just a year after that, he also predicted and gambled on the fact that the US would defeat Iraq when the oil markets were beginning to recover. He was a master at trading using geopolitical motivators and aspects and has made a lot of money doing so.

10. David Tepper – Investing Money in Diminishing Assets

The last on the list, another successful traders is Tepper has a record for investing in distressed assets and has made a lot of money doing so. He predicted the Bank of America along with Citigroup will not be nationalized and he made a fortune. David bought extremely depreciated shares and saw them grow tremendously in value towards the end of 2009.

So, these are the best traders you can learn from and be inspired by.

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