The euro posted modest gains against the US dollar on Wednesday, although upside was limited after international investment bank Goldman Sachs lowered the common currency’s near-term forecast.

The EUR/USD advanced 0.15 percent to 1.1360, stopping well short of the 1.14 level. The pair faces near-term support at 1.1301 and resistance at 1.1372. The EUR/USD has plunged more than 17 percent year-on-year. The pair was trading closer to 1.40 last spring.

The euro was also trading near seven-year lows against the British pound. The EUR/GBP fell 0.11 percent to 0.7331, rebounding from an intraday low to 0.7314.

The common currency has been mired in economic and political turmoil stemming from plunging inflation, violence in Ukraine and a deepening Greek crisis.

As Athens struggles to make whole on its campaign promise that Greeks could have the euro without the “cruel” austerity tied to bailout reforms, the newly elected Syriza party could face a political backlash. While the European Commission accepted the validity of Greece’s recently proposed reforms, the European Central Bank and International Monetary Fund publicly disclosed their displeasure with the lack of details in the plans.

“The commitments outlined by the authorities differ from existing program commitments in a number of areas,” ECB President Mario Draghi said in a letter to Eurogroup head Jeroen Dijsselbloem.

Greece slipped back into contraction in the fourth quarter, as the country’s deteriorating climate has added another layer of complication to ongoing bailout talks.

The ongoing Greek bailout crisis likely factored into Goldman Sachs’ latest forecast for the euro. Goldman now sees the common currency at 1.12-1.13 US over the next three months, down from a previous forecast of 1.14. The euro is expected to fall to 1.10 in the next six months, down from a previous forecast of 1.11. The euro will then plunge to 1.08 in a year’s time.

A plunging euro boosted Germany in the fourth quarter, as the bedrock of the Eurozone economy expanded more than twice the rate of forecast. Germany’s GDP expanded 0.7 percent in the final three months of 2014, up from 0.1 percent the previous month. Year-on-year, this translated into an annualized gain of 1.6 percent. Euro area growth averaged 0.3 percent in the fourth quarter, official data revealed earlier this month.

Eurozone consumer prices declined at an annual rate of 0.6 percent in January. Deflation was steepest in Greece, while almost all Eurozone countries experienced negative rates. The European Commission next week is expected to report an even steeper fall for February.

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The euro was trading cautiously on Monday, following a week of uncertainty that ended with Greece securing a short-term loan extension in exchange for further oversight from its creditors and other reforms that squashed Athens’ “anti-austerity” pledge. The attention this week shifts back to the economic data, although the threat of an eventual Greek exit from the Eurozone remains in the background.

The EUR/USD was trading at 1.1368 in the early Asian session, down 0.13 percent. The pair faces initial support at 1.1294 and resistance at 1.1445. The euro advanced slightly against its US counterpart last week, but ended on a sour note following the details of the Greek loan extension. The pair briefly fell below 1.13 on Friday before recovering.

Several batches of high profile data are on the docket this week, headlined by Germany. On Monday the IFO Institute will release the business climate index, a closely followed indicator for economic development in Germany. The business climate index is forecast to rise to 107.7 from 106.7, adding further evidence the German economy was regaining momentum following a midyear slump.

On Tuesday the Federal Statistics Office is expected to confirm Germany’s Q4 GDP growth at 0.7 percent, unchanged from the preliminary estimate. Year-on-year, this translates into an annualized gain of 1.6 percent. Fourth quarter growth more than doubled forecast and was a significant improvement over the third quarter’s 0.1 percent uptick.

Separately, Eurostat will post final Eurozone CPI figures for January. Eurozone consumer prices plunged 0.6 percent annually in January, the sharpest decline since July 2009, Eurostat reported last month in a preliminary estimate.

On Thursday Germany will publish official employment figures for February. The number of workers unemployed is forecast to drop by another 10,000 in February. The unemployment rate is forecast to hold at 6.5 percent.

Separately, Eurostat will release several economic indicators on Thursday, including business confidence, industrial confidence and economic sentiment.

Germany and other Eurozone member states will close out the week with preliminary estimates of February CPI. Germany’s harmonized index of consumer prices declined 0.5 percent in January, the first time in more than five years inflation turned negative for Europe’s largest economy.

Eurozone inflation will probably remain negative in the first half of the year before gradually recovering later on, aggravating concerns about the currency bloc’s nascent recovery. Persistently weak inflation also raises concerns about the ECB’s €1 trillion bond buying program, which has designed to shore up consumer prices and promote economic growth.

The ECB will hold its next monetary policy meetings in early March.

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